941. Real talk on models, moderation, and the misuse of academic authority
Nate Silver discusses the debate over moderate candidates' electoral performance and critiques the methodology of opposing political scientists regarding this issue.
942. Meanwhile, in Mexico
The post discusses Mexico's political changes under López Obrador, emphasizing the consolidation of executive power and its implications for democracy and governance globally.
943. Moderation is good for its own sake
Noah Smith discusses the resurgence of blogging debates, focusing on the electability of moderate candidates versus ideological ones in political elections.
944. In Praise of Editors
Timothy Taylor reflects on the vital role of editors in the writing process, emphasizing their importance and often overlooked contributions compared to writers.
945. We Have Never Been Woke Part 7: Victimhood Culture
An argument that contemporary elites adopt victimhood narratives for social status, contrasting past values of resilience and personal confrontation with a culture that incentivizes perceived fragility.
946. FOMC Minutes: "Committee might face difficult tradeoffs" regarding Unemployment and Inflation
An argument that the Federal Open Market Committee faces challenging tradeoffs between managing inflation and unemployment, highlighting risks from tariffs and economic conditions.
947. Useful Counterfactuals on Trade
An argument that counterfactuals in trade discussions can be justified through evidence, demonstrating that trade has generally led to positive economic outcomes despite claims of negative impacts.
948. Trump calls for resignation of Fed governor in latest line of attack
Scott Horsley discusses President Trump's demand for the resignation of Fed governor Lisa Cook following accusations of her making false statements.
949. AIA: "Business at architecture firms remains soft" in July
Business at architecture firms remains weak, with declining billings and challenges in converting inquiries into contracts, although there are slight signs of improvement in some sectors.
950. Random links, plus continual updates about Boston and Harvard and the trains
The author shares personal experiences about moving to Boston, using the train, and updates on academic work, while reflecting on various topics including media and gratitude.
951. ICEing the U.S. Economy
Paul Krugman discusses the implications of Trump's immigration policies on civil liberties and the U.S. economy, emphasizing the potential negative economic impact of deportations.
952. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
Mortgage applications fell by 1.4% in the latest survey, influenced by rising rates, while year-over-year comparisons show some resilience in purchase activity.
953. Cobalt-free batteries reign in Chinese EVs. Why not the US?
A discussion on the shift from cobalt-based to cobalt-free batteries in electric vehicles, highlighting the implications for the Chinese market compared to the US.
954. Walmart recalls frozen shrimp over potential radioactive contamination
A recall of frozen shrimp due to potential radioactive contamination is discussed, highlighting the low risk associated with cesium-137 exposure.
955. Episode 57. Richard Epstein on Property Rights, Law and Economics
Jon Hartley discusses Richard Epstein's insights on property rights, law, economics, and their implications for constitutional interpretation and public policy.
956. Voltaire on the Civility of Markets
Timothy Taylor reflects on Voltaire's insights about markets fostering cooperation among diverse people and the nature of money in society.
957. A Serious Look at Interest Rates
An argument that recent interest rates and monetary policy are influencing the labor market, with a focus on inflation and the effects of the AI boom on employment.
958. Residential Investment: Nowcast down 5.9% q/q AR
A decline in residential investment is analyzed, highlighting policy uncertainty and comparing recent data against forecasts and historical interest rates.
959. Home Depot keeps quiet on immigration raids outside its doors
The post discusses Home Depot's response to immigration raids and its historical relationship with day laborers amid ongoing immigration enforcement.
960. Tuesday's Assorted Links
The post discusses various economic stories, including consumer behavior, unemployment rates, Fed Chair candidates, credit card spending trends, and student loan misconceptions.