361. Employment, Heavy Truck Sales and Cautionary Notes
Menzie Chinn discusses employment trends, heavy truck sales, and the implications of potential recession indicators, emphasizing caution in interpreting historical data.
your daily dose of economic commentary
Menzie Chinn discusses employment trends, heavy truck sales, and the implications of potential recession indicators, emphasizing caution in interpreting historical data.
Scott Cunningham discusses the identification assumptions in synthetic control methods and their relationship to causal inference and treatment assignment in econometrics.
Alex Tabarrok discusses Josh Gans's views on AI and copyright, contrasting them with Cory Doctorow's perspective on protecting artists' rights in the AI landscape.
An argument that Donald Trump poses a significant security threat to the U.S. and its allies through his actions and foreign policy decisions, prioritizing personal interests over national security.
Sam Enright shares a roundup of links discussing topics like economics, social coordination, and public policy, reflecting on various issues in innovation and regulation.
The blog discusses CNN's ongoing challenges amid corporate changes and the influence of political figures on its future direction.
The post discusses new evidence questioning the effectiveness of basic income, highlighting its limited impact on labor participation and crime rates despite raising incomes for recipients.
The Associated Press discusses Reddit's legal challenge against Australia's law prohibiting children under 16 from using social media accounts.
Bill McBride discusses the increase in negative equity among homeowners, highlighting a decline in overall homeowner equity and its implications for the housing market.
Bill McBride discusses the current state of mortgage rates and their implications in relation to Federal Reserve policies and market trends.
Kirk Siegler discusses President Trump's $12 billion aid package for farmers affected by trade disruptions and emphasizes the need for additional relief.
Alex Tabarrok discusses the relationship between mass incarceration and violent crime, challenging the notion that racism was the primary driver of mass imprisonment.
Nate Silver discusses the challenges facing Texas Democrats, highlighting electoral trends and candidate dynamics as they navigate a difficult political landscape.
Paul Krugman discusses the Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut and its implications for monetary policy amid political pressures from Donald Trump.
The post discusses the Q3 2025 homeownership and vacancy rates, highlighting concerns about the survey's accuracy and its implications for housing trends.
The post discusses the decrease in the U.S. trade deficit for September, highlighting changes in exports and imports, and the deficit's relationship with China.
An argument that automation will not eliminate all jobs, emphasizing the need for new institutions to ensure equitable wealth distribution from technological advancements.
The discussion explores Gaurav Kapadia's investment philosophy, urban quality judgment, and insights on New York City's mayoral candidate dynamics and election processes.
An argument that the potential sale of Warner Bros. Discovery to Netflix or Paramount Skydance may harm competition and limit consumer choice in media.
An argument that contrasts Trump's claims about the economy with data reflecting public concerns over rising costs and affordability issues.