Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

Employment, Heavy Truck Sales and Cautionary Notes

361. Employment, Heavy Truck Sales and Cautionary Notes

Menzie Chinn discusses employment trends, heavy truck sales, and the implications of potential recession indicators, emphasizing caution in interpreting historical data.

Identification in Synthetic Control

362. Identification in Synthetic Control

Scott Cunningham discusses the identification assumptions in synthetic control methods and their relationship to causal inference and treatment assignment in econometrics.

Gans and Doctorow on AI Copyright

363. Gans and Doctorow on AI Copyright

Alex Tabarrok discusses Josh Gans's views on AI and copyright, contrasting them with Cory Doctorow's perspective on protecting artists' rights in the AI landscape.

Donald Trump, Security Threat

364. Donald Trump, Security Threat

An argument that Donald Trump poses a significant security threat to the U.S. and its allies through his actions and foreign policy decisions, prioritizing personal interests over national security.

Sam’s Links: Holiday Edition

365. Sam’s Links: Holiday Edition

Sam Enright shares a roundup of links discussing topics like economics, social coordination, and public policy, reflecting on various issues in innovation and regulation.

CNN has endured turmoil for years. Now Trump wants role in its fate

366. CNN has endured turmoil for years. Now Trump wants role in its fate

The blog discusses CNN's ongoing challenges amid corporate changes and the influence of political figures on its future direction.

At least five interesting things: Debunking the Debunkers edition (#73)

367. At least five interesting things: Debunking the Debunkers edition (#73)

The post discusses new evidence questioning the effectiveness of basic income, highlighting its limited impact on labor participation and crime rates despite raising incomes for recipients.

Reddit challenges Australia's world-first law banning children under 16 from social media

368. Reddit challenges Australia's world-first law banning children under 16 from social media

The Associated Press discusses Reddit's legal challenge against Australia's law prohibiting children under 16 from using social media accounts.

Cotality: Homeowners With Negative Equity Increasing

369. Cotality: Homeowners With Negative Equity Increasing

Bill McBride discusses the increase in negative equity among homeowners, highlighting a decline in overall homeowner equity and its implications for the housing market.

Mortgage Rates: The New Normal

370. Mortgage Rates: The New Normal

Bill McBride discusses the current state of mortgage rates and their implications in relation to Federal Reserve policies and market trends.

Farmers welcome Trump's $12 billion aid package, say additional relief is needed

371. Farmers welcome Trump's $12 billion aid package, say additional relief is needed

Kirk Siegler discusses President Trump's $12 billion aid package for farmers affected by trade disruptions and emphasizes the need for additional relief.

Mass Incarceration and Mass Crime

372. Mass Incarceration and Mass Crime

Alex Tabarrok discusses the relationship between mass incarceration and violent crime, challenging the notion that racism was the primary driver of mass imprisonment.

The Democratic base isn’t in the mood to compromise

373. The Democratic base isn’t in the mood to compromise

Nate Silver discusses the challenges facing Texas Democrats, highlighting electoral trends and candidate dynamics as they navigate a difficult political landscape.

Of MAGA and Monetary Policy

374. Of MAGA and Monetary Policy

Paul Krugman discusses the Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut and its implications for monetary policy amid political pressures from Donald Trump.

HVS: Q3 2025 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates

375. HVS: Q3 2025 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates

The post discusses the Q3 2025 homeownership and vacancy rates, highlighting concerns about the survey's accuracy and its implications for housing trends.

Trade Deficit Decreased to $52.8 Billion in September

376. Trade Deficit Decreased to $52.8 Billion in September

The post discusses the decrease in the U.S. trade deficit for September, highlighting changes in exports and imports, and the deficit's relationship with China.

377. Should robots take our jobs?

An argument that automation will not eliminate all jobs, emphasizing the need for new institutions to ensure equitable wealth distribution from technological advancements.

My Conversation with the excellent Gaurav Kapadia

378. My Conversation with the excellent Gaurav Kapadia

The discussion explores Gaurav Kapadia's investment philosophy, urban quality judgment, and insights on New York City's mayoral candidate dynamics and election processes.

Elizabeth Warren says both bids to buy Warner Bros. Discovery are bad for consumers

379. Elizabeth Warren says both bids to buy Warner Bros. Discovery are bad for consumers

An argument that the potential sale of Warner Bros. Discovery to Netflix or Paramount Skydance may harm competition and limit consumer choice in media.

Trump calls affordability crisis a 'hoax.' The data tells a different story

380. Trump calls affordability crisis a 'hoax.' The data tells a different story

An argument that contrasts Trump's claims about the economy with data reflecting public concerns over rising costs and affordability issues.