Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

2025 March Madness Predictions

3101. 2025 March Madness Predictions

Nate Silver discusses his college basketball forecasts for March Madness, detailing the rating system and projections based on historical data and team performance.

Recession Now?

3102. Recession Now?

An argument that consumer sentiment and financial indicators suggest a significant probability of recession occurring soon, with analysis based on regression models and historical data.

It's time to start panicking about the national debt

3103. It's time to start panicking about the national debt

An argument that the national debt is a growing concern exacerbated by both major political parties, particularly due to recent spending and tax policies.

Corrections are Unhealthy

3104. Corrections are Unhealthy

An argument that market corrections are often mischaracterized as healthy, highlighting their negative implications and the risks of assuming beneficial long-term effects from certain economic policies.

My Weekly Reading and Viewing for March 16, 2025

3105. My Weekly Reading and Viewing for March 16, 2025

David Henderson discusses various articles covering topics like government regulations, legal cases, and pollution in his weekly reading and viewing roundup.

The Obvious Superiority of Collective Choices?

3106. The Obvious Superiority of Collective Choices?

An argument that collective decision-making can undermine individual rights, particularly regarding capital inflows, highlighting the potential dangers of government control over economic choices.

Inflation

3107. Inflation

An argument that inflation trends, consumer sentiment, and political promises influence economic conditions, particularly in the context of recent U.S. inflation and its implications for future policies.

3108. FOMC Preview: No Change to Fed Funds Rate

Bill McBride discusses expectations for the FOMC meeting, predicting no change to the Fed funds rate and highlighting economic projections for growth and inflation.

Mixtape University: Diff-in-diff with a checklist. Defining your target parameters

3109. Mixtape University: Diff-in-diff with a checklist. Defining your target parameters

The discussion focuses on a series of videos about causal inference, specifically targeting parameters and the implications of data weighting in different geographical contexts.

Forget about rare earth minerals. We need more copper

3110. Forget about rare earth minerals. We need more copper

An argument that the increasing demand for copper is critical, potentially overshadowing concerns about rare-earth minerals due to its essential role in various technologies.

Ludwig von Mises and the Berlin Batman

3111. Ludwig von Mises and the Berlin Batman

Art Carden critiques the New History of Capitalism and defends Ludwig von Mises against misinterpretations, highlighting his anti-Nazi stance through a Batman comic reference.

'Bloody Saturday' at Voice of America and other U.S.-funded networks

3112. 'Bloody Saturday' at Voice of America and other U.S.-funded networks

David Folkenflik discusses the indefinite paid leave of 1,000 Voice of America employees and the termination of contracts with other U.S.-funded networks.

The Shortage that Increased Ozempic Supply

3113. The Shortage that Increased Ozempic Supply

Alex Tabarrok discusses how a drug shortage led to increased supply through compounding pharmacies, highlighting the implications of relaxed FDA regulations on the market.

How Worried Should We Be About the Economy?

3114. How Worried Should We Be About the Economy?

Paul Krugman discusses economic pessimism and recession risks with Neil Dutta, emphasizing the interplay between macroeconomic forecasting and political factors.

Schedule for Week of March 16, 2025

3115. Schedule for Week of March 16, 2025

Bill McBride outlines key economic reports and events scheduled for the week of March 16, 2025, including retail sales and housing data.

Closing tabs: Goodbye South Africa

3116. Closing tabs: Goodbye South Africa

The author shares experiences from a recent trip to South Africa, discussing talks, personal reflections, and the country's economic challenges and beauty.

Dalton Conley in genes-environment interaction

3117. Dalton Conley in genes-environment interaction

Tyler Cowen discusses Dalton Conley's research on how genes and environment interact, influencing behaviors and outcomes in social networks and familial settings.

Social Security: Flawed from the Start

3118. Social Security: Flawed from the Start

An argument that Social Security was designed as a flawed intergenerational scheme, leading to ongoing financial issues and entitlement mentality among citizens.

The Four Golfcartmen of the Apocalypse

3119. The Four Golfcartmen of the Apocalypse

The post discusses the negative impacts of the Trump administration, likening them to the biblical figures of War, Death, Pestilence, and Famine.

Democrats should have shut it down

3120. Democrats should have shut it down

An argument that Democrats should have opposed a budget resolution to avoid a government shutdown, emphasizing the potential political consequences of supporting Trump’s agenda.