3081. “Are we heading into a recession? Here’s what the data shows”
The post discusses indicators of a potential recession, focusing on consumer spending, market predictions, and economic sentiment data.
your daily dose of economic commentary
The post discusses indicators of a potential recession, focusing on consumer spending, market predictions, and economic sentiment data.
Nate Silver discusses women's NCAA tournament projections, highlighting the growing popularity of women's basketball and the methodologies used for rating teams.
The post discusses the implications of the Supreme Court case regarding interprovincial trade barriers in Canada, focusing on alcohol regulations and their economic impact.
Rachel Treisman discusses Trump's claims regarding Biden's pardons and the use of autopens by presidents throughout history.
The post examines recent trends in federal civilian employment, noting increases and patterns related to economic conditions and potential implications for government staffing.
Alina Selyukh discusses Forever 21's repeated bankruptcy filings and its decline as a major fast-fashion retailer.
Bill McBride discusses February housing market trends, including sales data and mortgage rates, while tracking over 40 local markets in the US.
An argument that Social Security is unjust and inequitable, highlighting how it fails to accommodate individuals with shorter life expectancies and the lack of guaranteed benefits despite contributions.
Alex Tabarrok discusses the historical misconception about babies' ability to feel pain and the implications for understanding consciousness and compassion.
The post discusses the potential economic consequences of America's declining global trust and reliability, particularly in military and educational exports, due to recent political actions.
An argument that Southwest Airlines' new baggage fees reveal the psychological impact of perceived free services and the economic rationale behind unbundling pricing strategies.
Robert Vienneau discusses the struggles of mathematicians David Hilbert and Kurt Gödel during the rise of the Nazi regime and their experiences in America.
Bill McBride discusses the decline in builder confidence due to economic uncertainty and rising construction costs, as reported by the NAHB in March.
Retail sales rose 0.2% in February, with a year-over-year increase of 3.1%, although the growth fell short of expectations and previous months were revised downward.
Active single-family housing inventory increased both week-over-week and year-over-year, indicating a seasonal trend and a significant reduction in the gap to normal inventory levels.
An argument that explores the application of difference-in-differences design in evaluating job-training programs and addresses potential biases in regression analysis.
Bobby Allyn discusses Valerie Costa's experience as an anti-Tesla protester and her concerns about being targeted by Elon Musk.
A decline in wholesale egg prices suggests potential reductions in grocery store prices soon.
Tyler Cowen critiques the AI risk movement's claims, arguing that many fears about AI are unfounded and based on misconceptions about machine learning and alignment.
Kate Dario discusses the federal government's costly coyote management program and its ineffectiveness in controlling coyote populations.