Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

“Are we heading into a recession? Here’s what the data shows”

3081. “Are we heading into a recession? Here’s what the data shows”

The post discusses indicators of a potential recession, focusing on consumer spending, market predictions, and economic sentiment data.

2025 Women's March Madness Predictions

3082. 2025 Women's March Madness Predictions

Nate Silver discusses women's NCAA tournament projections, highlighting the growing popularity of women's basketball and the methodologies used for rating teams.

Free the Beer, Free the Trade

3083. Free the Beer, Free the Trade

The post discusses the implications of the Supreme Court case regarding interprovincial trade barriers in Canada, focusing on alcohol regulations and their economic impact.

Trump tries to void Biden's pardons, blaming autopen. Many presidents have used it

3084. Trump tries to void Biden's pardons, blaming autopen. Many presidents have used it

Rachel Treisman discusses Trump's claims regarding Biden's pardons and the use of autopens by presidents throughout history.

Snapshots about the Federal Workforce

3085. Snapshots about the Federal Workforce

The post examines recent trends in federal civilian employment, noting increases and patterns related to economic conditions and potential implications for government staffing.

Forever 21 is bankrupt, again. This time actually could be forever

3086. Forever 21 is bankrupt, again. This time actually could be forever

Alina Selyukh discusses Forever 21's repeated bankruptcy filings and its decline as a major fast-fashion retailer.

3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in February

3087. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in February

Bill McBride discusses February housing market trends, including sales data and mortgage rates, while tracking over 40 local markets in the US.

Social Security: The Proposal

3088. Social Security: The Proposal

An argument that Social Security is unjust and inequitable, highlighting how it fails to accommodate individuals with shorter life expectancies and the lack of guaranteed benefits despite contributions.

What Did We Learn From Torturing Babies?

3089. What Did We Learn From Torturing Babies?

Alex Tabarrok discusses the historical misconception about babies' ability to feel pain and the implications for understanding consciousness and compassion.

Destroying America's Brand

3090. Destroying America's Brand

The post discusses the potential economic consequences of America's declining global trust and reliability, particularly in military and educational exports, due to recent political actions.

There’s No Such Thing as Free Checked Bags

3091. There’s No Such Thing as Free Checked Bags

An argument that Southwest Airlines' new baggage fees reveal the psychological impact of perceived free services and the economic rationale behind unbundling pricing strategies.

3092. Two Sad Stories About Great Mathematicians

Robert Vienneau discusses the struggles of mathematicians David Hilbert and Kurt Gödel during the rise of the Nazi regime and their experiences in America.

NAHB: "Builder Confidence Falls on Cost Uncertainty" in March

3093. NAHB: "Builder Confidence Falls on Cost Uncertainty" in March

Bill McBride discusses the decline in builder confidence due to economic uncertainty and rising construction costs, as reported by the NAHB in March.

Retail Sales Increased 0.2% in February

3094. Retail Sales Increased 0.2% in February

Retail sales rose 0.2% in February, with a year-over-year increase of 3.1%, although the growth fell short of expectations and previous months were revised downward.

Housing March 17th Weekly Update: Inventory up 2.1% Week-over-week, Up 29.3% Year-over-year

3095. Housing March 17th Weekly Update: Inventory up 2.1% Week-over-week, Up 29.3% Year-over-year

Active single-family housing inventory increased both week-over-week and year-over-year, indicating a seasonal trend and a significant reduction in the gap to normal inventory levels.

Mixtape Mailbag: Covariates, Regression, and Homogeneity

3096. Mixtape Mailbag: Covariates, Regression, and Homogeneity

An argument that explores the application of difference-in-differences design in evaluating job-training programs and addresses potential biases in regression analysis.

A Tesla protester targeted by Elon Musk speaks out: 'I have to protect myself'

3097. A Tesla protester targeted by Elon Musk speaks out: 'I have to protect myself'

Bobby Allyn discusses Valerie Costa's experience as an anti-Tesla protester and her concerns about being targeted by Elon Musk.

Wholesale egg prices are going down. How soon will it affect your grocery bill?

3098. Wholesale egg prices are going down. How soon will it affect your grocery bill?

A decline in wholesale egg prices suggests potential reductions in grocery store prices soon.

Roko on AI risk

3099. Roko on AI risk

Tyler Cowen critiques the AI risk movement's claims, arguing that many fears about AI are unfounded and based on misconceptions about machine learning and alignment.

Why is the federal government still killing coyotes?

3100. Why is the federal government still killing coyotes?

Kate Dario discusses the federal government's costly coyote management program and its ineffectiveness in controlling coyote populations.