Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

October Forecast: Vehicle Sales Down Sharply Due to Decline in EV Sales

261. October Forecast: Vehicle Sales Down Sharply Due to Decline in EV Sales

Bill McBride discusses a significant decline in vehicle sales, primarily driven by a drop in electric vehicle sales following the expiration of federal EV credits.

Final Look at Housing Markets in September and a Look Ahead to October Sales

262. Final Look at Housing Markets in September and a Look Ahead to October Sales

The post analyzes September housing market trends, highlighting sales declines, inventory increases, and potential future price changes.

Privatizing Law Enforcement: The Economics of Whistleblowing

263. Privatizing Law Enforcement: The Economics of Whistleblowing

An argument that private incentives through whistleblowing effectively reduce fraud and provide significant economic returns compared to government enforcement mechanisms.

When Canvas Crashed and Students Cheered

264. When Canvas Crashed and Students Cheered

The post explores students' contrasting reactions to a learning management system outage, highlighting the economic implications of education as both an investment and a signaling mechanism.

No, Ronald Reagan Didn’t Love Tariffs

265. No, Ronald Reagan Didn’t Love Tariffs

An argument that Reagan supported free trade and used tariffs sparingly, contrasting his approach with Trump's chaotic tariff policies and emphasizing respect for international agreements.

266. Arguments And Debates Among Early Socialists

The post examines early socialist debates, focusing on figures like William Thompson and their influence on later socialist thought, particularly regarding labor and wealth distribution.

Housing October 27th Weekly Update: Inventory Up 1.0% Week-over-week, New High for 2025

267. Housing October 27th Weekly Update: Inventory Up 1.0% Week-over-week, New High for 2025

Bill McBride discusses the recent increase in single-family housing inventory and its implications for the housing market in 2025.

NPR lawsuit alleges Corporation for Public Broadcasting gave in to political pressure

268. NPR lawsuit alleges Corporation for Public Broadcasting gave in to political pressure

An argument that NPR is suing the Corporation for Public Broadcasting for allegedly breaking a contract to satisfy the White House's demands.

What Economists Are Against the IEEPA Tariffs? What Economists Are in Favor?

269. What Economists Are Against the IEEPA Tariffs? What Economists Are in Favor?

Menzie Chinn discusses differing opinions among economists regarding the IEEPA tariffs, highlighting both support and opposition to these economic measures.

The Strange Cases Wherein Trump Realizes Imports Lower Prices

270. The Strange Cases Wherein Trump Realizes Imports Lower Prices

The post discusses how increased imports under Trump's policies have contributed to lower prices for certain goods, suggesting broader tariff reductions could benefit consumers.

Causal Inference 2 workshop cancelation, updating on stuff

271. Causal Inference 2 workshop cancelation, updating on stuff

The author discusses the cancellation of a workshop due to a family emergency, shares personal reflections on his father's condition, and updates on ongoing research and teaching experiences.

The Rise of Renewable Energy

272. The Rise of Renewable Energy

Paul Krugman discusses the growth of renewable energy, its economic implications, and the political challenges it faces in the current landscape.

Our age of kings

273. Our age of kings

Noah Smith compares Vladimir Putin to Louis XIV, highlighting their consolidation of power, social repression, and expansionist wars, along with the consequences of their leadership.

274. FOMC Preview: 25bps Rate Cut Expected

Bill McBride discusses expectations for a 25bps rate cut by the FOMC and analyzes economic indicators affecting this decision.

EJ Antoni: Pro-growth Supply Side Policies Will Support High Stock Prices

275. EJ Antoni: Pro-growth Supply Side Policies Will Support High Stock Prices

An argument that pro-growth supply-side policies may influence stock prices, particularly through financial deregulation and changing interest rates affecting valuations and risk perceptions.

CPI Release: Instantaneous Core CPI, Nowcasted Core PCE Up Relative to 2024M12

276. CPI Release: Instantaneous Core CPI, Nowcasted Core PCE Up Relative to 2024M12

Menzie Chinn analyzes inflation data, particularly core CPI and PCE, highlighting the impact of tariffs and the implications of delayed CPI releases.

The NBA gambling scandal, explained by an actual gambler

277. The NBA gambling scandal, explained by an actual gambler

The post discusses a major NBA gambling scandal, highlighting insider information's impact on betting, and the intertwining of sports leagues with betting companies.

Trump threatens Canada with 10% extra import tax over anti-tariffs ad

278. Trump threatens Canada with 10% extra import tax over anti-tariffs ad

An argument that Trump threatens Canada with additional import taxes in response to an ad criticizing U.S. tariffs aired during a major sporting event.

Talking With Erica Chenoweth

279. Talking With Erica Chenoweth

The discussion centers on the effectiveness of civil resistance and protests in influencing public opinion, policy changes, and political outcomes in the U.S.

Schedule for Week of October 26, 2025

280. Schedule for Week of October 26, 2025

The post outlines the upcoming economic reports and events for the week, including the FOMC meeting and various housing and manufacturing indices.