Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

April 25th COVID Update: COVID Deaths Continue to Decline

2441. April 25th COVID Update: COVID Deaths Continue to Decline

Bill McBride discusses the decline in COVID deaths and the decision to stop tracking hospitalizations as metrics change.

Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 43 States in March (3-Month Basis)

2442. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 43 States in March (3-Month Basis)

Bill McBride discusses the recent increase in coincident indexes for 43 states, indicating improved economic conditions according to the Philly Fed's data.

Fired, rehired, and fired again: Some federal workers find they're suddenly uninsured

2443. Fired, rehired, and fired again: Some federal workers find they're suddenly uninsured

Andrea Hsu discusses federal workers losing health care coverage amid legal disputes over firings and rehiring processes.

Adam Smith Definitely Would Not Approve

2444. Adam Smith Definitely Would Not Approve

Jon Murphy discusses Adam Smith's opposition to tariffs and critiques current trade policies, particularly those of Trump, emphasizing the importance of free trade.

The Library Burned Slowly

2445. The Library Burned Slowly

Alex Tabarrok discusses the consequences of expanding federal control over universities and the political hubris of the left, highlighting the dangers of state power.

Big brands are officially worried about American shoppers

2446. Big brands are officially worried about American shoppers

Alina Selyukh discusses how major brands like Pepsi and Procter & Gamble are reducing financial forecasts due to concerns about American consumer spending.

Q1 GDP Tracking: No Growth

2447. Q1 GDP Tracking: No Growth

Bill McBride discusses the advance estimates for Q1 GDP, indicating expectations of minimal growth and highlighting concerns about inventory and import impacts.

How to have friends past age 30

2448. How to have friends past age 30

The post discusses the challenges of maintaining friendships after age 30 and offers personal insights on fostering social connections amidst rising loneliness trends.

Intercontinental Exchange: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased in March

2449. Intercontinental Exchange: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased in March

Bill McBride discusses the increase in mortgage delinquency rates in March, highlighting trends and factors affecting the U.S. mortgage market.

2450. Technical Change and Triple-Switching in the Corn-Tractor Model

An argument that technical change and triple-switching in production techniques illustrate complexities in economic models, particularly concerning reswitching and cost-minimization under varying conditions.

Student loans are back, U.S. travel is whack, and AI — please, step back

2451. Student loans are back, U.S. travel is whack, and AI — please, step back

Darian Woods discusses the return of student loan collections, declining foreign travel to the U.S., and the potential costs of AI interactions.

Bans on Artificial Food Dyes are Unjust

2452. Bans on Artificial Food Dyes are Unjust

Christopher Freiman argues against bans on artificial food dyes, emphasizing individual rights to make personal health choices despite potential risks.

Symposium: “Europe amidst Uncertainty”

2453. Symposium: “Europe amidst Uncertainty”

Menzie Chinn discusses Europe's economic and political challenges, including trade wars, populism, and transatlantic relations amidst global uncertainty.

One Way or Another

2454. One Way or Another

Scott Sumner discusses geopolitical tensions involving Russia, China, and the U.S., highlighting the resurgence of territorial ambitions and the implications for military alliances.

Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 30.0% YoY

2455. Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 30.0% YoY

Bill McBride discusses the significant year-over-year increase in active housing inventory and its implications for the real estate market.

WEO, PIIE, WSJ Forecasts [updated w/adjusted GDPNow at -0.4%]

2456. WEO, PIIE, WSJ Forecasts [updated w/adjusted GDPNow at -0.4%]

Menzie Chinn discusses various economic forecasts for the US economy, comparing projections from the IMF, PIIE, and WSJ.

2457. Guest Contribution: “How to Forecast a Recession”

An argument that identifies key indicators and factors influencing the likelihood of an impending recession, emphasizing the role of consumer and business confidence.

Home sales just posted their biggest monthly fall since 2022

2458. Home sales just posted their biggest monthly fall since 2022

Laurel Wamsley discusses the unexpected decline in existing home sales, attributing it to rising mortgage rates affecting affordability.

Fyre Festival's embattled founder is selling the brand: 'It's time to pass the torch'

2459. Fyre Festival's embattled founder is selling the brand: 'It's time to pass the torch'

Rachel Treisman discusses Billy McFarland's decision to sell the Fyre Festival brand to someone who can better execute its vision following the postponement of Fyre Festival 2.

Trump Is a Virus

2460. Trump Is a Virus

An argument that the unpredictability of leadership is causing economic instability, with potential repercussions for supply chains and the real economy due to erratic trade policies.