Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

Cleaning out my closet — saying goodbye to 2025 links

161. Cleaning out my closet — saying goodbye to 2025 links

Scott Cunningham reflects on his 2025 experiences, shares insights from various papers, and discusses personal interests and upcoming events as he transitions into 2026.

Reflections on Vibe Researching

162. Reflections on Vibe Researching

The post explores the implications of AI on research productivity, emphasizing the balance between speed and quality in academic work, particularly in economics.

Why Some US Indian Reservations Prosper While Others Struggle

163. Why Some US Indian Reservations Prosper While Others Struggle

An argument that institutional quality significantly influences economic prosperity among US Indian reservations, with federal policies often hindering development and investment.

Talking With Eoin Higgins

164. Talking With Eoin Higgins

Paul Krugman interviews Eoin Higgins about his book on tech billionaires' influence on media and politics, focusing on figures like Matt Taibbi and Glenn Greenwald.

Schedule for Week of January 4, 2026

165. Schedule for Week of January 4, 2026

Bill McBride discusses key economic reports and indicators scheduled for the week of January 4, 2026, including employment and housing data.

America's chip export controls are working

166. America's chip export controls are working

Noah Smith discusses the effectiveness of America's chip export controls in maintaining a technological edge over China and their implications for national security.

167. Economic Inequality Does Not Cause Lower Subjective Ratings of Well-Being

Timothy Taylor discusses a meta-analysis revealing that economic inequality does not significantly affect subjective well-being or mental health, challenging common perceptions.

168. How Selective Universities Can Increase Socioeconomic Diversity: Admit by SAT Scores

Timothy Taylor discusses how selective universities can enhance socioeconomic diversity by admitting students based on SAT scores rather than other factors favoring wealthier applicants.

Notes on New York

169. Notes on New York

Paul Krugman discusses New York's recovery, low crime rates, and challenges of affordability under the new mayor, highlighting the city's resilience and immigrant contributions.

Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.7% Below 2022 Peak

170. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.7% Below 2022 Peak

The post discusses the current state of inflation-adjusted house prices, noting they are slightly below their 2022 peak and analyzing historical trends.

Cuba After Communism

171. Cuba After Communism

The post discusses the historical evolution of Cuba's political and economic systems, highlighting the impact of communism and recent calls for change among the populace.

172. Question #1 for 2026: How much will the economy grow in 2026? Will there be a recession in 2026?

Bill McBride discusses predictions for economic growth and the likelihood of a recession in 2026, emphasizing factors like fiscal policy and labor force growth.

173. Is Your Destiny Seeking You?

Timothy Taylor reflects on self-reliance, destiny, and the balance between seeking happiness and recognizing opportunities that come naturally.

Question #2 for 2026:  How much will job growth slow in 2026? Or will the economy lose jobs?

174. Question #2 for 2026: How much will job growth slow in 2026? Or will the economy lose jobs?

An argument that job growth may slow in 2026, with predictions of modest gains or potential job losses due to demographic factors and a stagnant labor market.

Claude Code Changes How I work (Part 3): Creating Devil’s Advocate Agents for Tough Problems

175. Claude Code Changes How I work (Part 3): Creating Devil’s Advocate Agents for Tough Problems

Scott Cunningham discusses using Claude Code to create devil's advocate agents for problem-solving in his empirical research process.

Question #3 for 2026:  What will the unemployment rate be in December 2026?

176. Question #3 for 2026: What will the unemployment rate be in December 2026?

Bill McBride discusses predictions for the unemployment rate in December 2026, considering economic factors, labor market uncertainties, and potential fiscal policy impacts.

Taxation in a strong AI world

177. Taxation in a strong AI world

Tyler Cowen discusses potential taxation strategies in a future dominated by AI, focusing on wealth taxes, consumption taxes, and healthcare expenditures.

Crypto soared in 2025 — and then crashed. Now what?

178. Crypto soared in 2025 — and then crashed. Now what?

The post discusses the rise and subsequent crash of cryptocurrencies in 2025, influenced by political promises regarding crypto leadership.

Warren Buffett officially retires as Berkshire Hathaway's CEO

179. Warren Buffett officially retires as Berkshire Hathaway's CEO

Maria Aspan discusses Warren Buffett's retirement as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway and the transition to Greg Abel's leadership.

The Year in Review, 2025: I wanted lower prices, and all I got is this lousy hole in the ground

180. The Year in Review, 2025: I wanted lower prices, and all I got is this lousy hole in the ground

The post reflects on significant economic events of 2025, highlighting absurdities in policy and commentary, particularly regarding recession definitions and data collection issues.