Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

CEA Unleashed!

1621. CEA Unleashed!

Menzie Chinn discusses the economic implications of deregulation and its potential impact on deficit reduction and growth, referencing various studies and estimates.

Did the Thunder get too good, too fast?

1622. Did the Thunder get too good, too fast?

An argument that the Oklahoma City Thunder's rapid success in the NBA may not be a fluke, supported by statistical analysis and historical context of their performance.

“That Drop in Consumer Income in May Was a False Recession Alarm”

1623. “That Drop in Consumer Income in May Was a False Recession Alarm”

Menzie Chinn analyzes the recent decline in personal income and consumption spending, arguing that it does not necessarily indicate an impending recession.

Missing the Mark: When Punishment Reinforces the Wrong Behavior

1624. Missing the Mark: When Punishment Reinforces the Wrong Behavior

An argument that punitive measures in aviation safety may discourage transparency and accountability, ultimately leading to increased risks rather than improved safety outcomes.

J.M. Smucker plans to remove artificial colors from its jams and other products

1625. J.M. Smucker plans to remove artificial colors from its jams and other products

A major food company plans to eliminate artificial colors from its products, aligning with industry trends towards healthier ingredients.

Schedule for Week of June 29, 2025

1626. Schedule for Week of June 29, 2025

The post outlines the key economic reports and events scheduled for the week of June 29, 2025, including employment data and manufacturing surveys.

Opinion: Remembering Bill Moyers

1627. Opinion: Remembering Bill Moyers

Scott Simon reflects on the remarkable life and career of Bill Moyers, highlighting his contributions to journalism and public broadcasting.

Looking forward to July 4 fireworks? Tariffs may take the spark out of your fun

1628. Looking forward to July 4 fireworks? Tariffs may take the spark out of your fun

Scott Horsley discusses how tariffs on Chinese-made fireworks may lead to increased prices for consumers this Fourth of July.

Dollar Decline and Incipient Inflationary Pressures

1629. Dollar Decline and Incipient Inflationary Pressures

A discussion on the dollar's decline, its implications for inflation, and the potential impact of tariffs and economic policies on price pressures.

When Trump met crypto

1630. When Trump met crypto

Andrea Bernstein discusses the evolving relationship between Trump and the cryptocurrency industry, highlighting his investments and the political implications of this shift.

Las Vegas in May: Visitor Traffic Down 6.5% YoY; Convention Traffic up 10.7% YoY

1631. Las Vegas in May: Visitor Traffic Down 6.5% YoY; Convention Traffic up 10.7% YoY

Visitor traffic in Las Vegas decreased by 6.5% year-over-year, while convention attendance increased by 10.7%, reflecting ongoing economic challenges and event scheduling changes.

GDP Nowcast Dispersion plus Slowing Final Sales to Private Domestic Purchasers

1632. GDP Nowcast Dispersion plus Slowing Final Sales to Private Domestic Purchasers

Menzie Chinn discusses GDPNow's decline and the deceleration of final sales to private domestic purchasers based on recent economic indicators.

The Importance of Foreign Literature

1633. The Importance of Foreign Literature

Jon Murphy explores Natsume Sōseki's "I am a Cat," connecting its themes to modern American society and reflecting on historical and cultural changes in Japan.

Business Cycle Indicators: The Slowdown Cometh?

1634. Business Cycle Indicators: The Slowdown Cometh?

The post analyzes recent economic indicators suggesting a potential slowdown, focusing on declines in personal income, consumption, and employment metrics.

Voice, Exit, and Cheerleaders

1635. Voice, Exit, and Cheerleaders

The discussion centers on the balance between passion and fair compensation for cheerleaders, highlighting the concepts of voice and exit in their negotiations with management.

Some Stylized Facts About Econometrics Citations Patterns, Diff-in-Diff Citation Patterns and Software Downloads

1636. Some Stylized Facts About Econometrics Citations Patterns, Diff-in-Diff Citation Patterns and Software Downloads

The post examines the rising citation patterns of econometrics papers, particularly in difference-in-differences, highlighting notable examples and their impact on the field.

Final Look at Local Housing Markets in May and a Look Ahead to June Sales

1637. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in May and a Look Ahead to June Sales

The post analyzes local housing market trends in May, highlighting sales declines, inventory levels, and price changes while anticipating June's data.

The Coming Health Care Apocalypse

1638. The Coming Health Care Apocalypse

Paul Krugman discusses the impending negative impacts of proposed Republican legislation on health care and low-income Americans, emphasizing the loss of insurance coverage.

Stocks climb to new record highs

1639. Stocks climb to new record highs

Scott Horsley discusses the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reaching record highs despite trade tensions and conflicts in the Middle East.

PCE Measure of Shelter Decreases to 4.1% YoY in May

1640. PCE Measure of Shelter Decreases to 4.1% YoY in May

Bill McBride discusses the year-over-year changes in shelter costs as reported by CPI and PCE, highlighting trends and implications for future rent increases.