Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

Over 5 million pools sold in the U.S., Canada under recall after reports of 9 deaths

1361. Over 5 million pools sold in the U.S., Canada under recall after reports of 9 deaths

The Associated Press reports on the recall of over 5 million pools in the U.S. and Canada following nine reported drowning deaths.

EJ Antoni/Heritage: “Back from the Brink: Trump’s Economy Soars Instead of Crashing”

1362. EJ Antoni/Heritage: “Back from the Brink: Trump’s Economy Soars Instead of Crashing”

Menzie Chinn critiques EJ Antoni's optimistic view on Trump's economy, highlighting discrepancies in economic indicators and consumer sentiment.

Guest Contribution: “Recession Detection Along the Anticipation-Precision Frontier”

1363. Guest Contribution: “Recession Detection Along the Anticipation-Precision Frontier”

An argument that a new algorithm improves recession detection by analyzing labor market data, offering timely insights for policymakers and businesses amid economic uncertainty.

Why Colbert got canceled

1364. Why Colbert got canceled

The post explores theories behind the cancellation of a popular late-night show, linking it to political pressures and financial considerations amid corporate mergers.

Can a Constitution Limit the State?

1365. Can a Constitution Limit the State?

An argument that explores whether a constitution can effectively limit state power, contrasting views of Buchanan and de Jasay on the feasibility of social contracts and democratic constraints.

NMHC on Apartments: Market conditions Tightened in Q2

1366. NMHC on Apartments: Market conditions Tightened in Q2

Market conditions for apartments tightened in Q2, with improved borrowing conditions and stable occupancy, despite low rent growth in certain regions and ongoing economic uncertainty.

How Sandwiches Can Explain 100 Years of Economic Growth

1367. How Sandwiches Can Explain 100 Years of Economic Growth

Jadrian Wooten discusses how the evolution of sandwiches over the past century reflects broader economic growth and advancements in food production and accessibility.

Enshittification and the Bitterness of Billionaire Bros

1368. Enshittification and the Bitterness of Billionaire Bros

Paul Krugman discusses the shift of Silicon Valley billionaires towards anti-democratic sentiments and their reaction to regulation, drawing parallels with Wall Street's past behavior.

Goldman's Mid-Year Housing Outlook

1369. Goldman's Mid-Year Housing Outlook

Bill McBride discusses Goldman's housing outlook, highlighting the impact of high mortgage rates on home sales and construction trends.

Housing July 21st Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.2% Week-over-week; Down 11% from 2019 Levels

1370. Housing July 21st Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.2% Week-over-week; Down 11% from 2019 Levels

Bill McBride discusses the recent trends in single-family housing inventory, noting increases compared to previous weeks and years.

U.S. coffee drinkers and businesses will pay the price for Trump's Brazil tariffs

1371. U.S. coffee drinkers and businesses will pay the price for Trump's Brazil tariffs

An argument that proposed tariffs on Brazilian goods will significantly impact U.S. coffee prices and the industry.

My Weekly Reading for July 20, 2025

1372. My Weekly Reading for July 20, 2025

The post discusses recent readings covering state spending increases, tobacco harm reduction, and historical perspectives on free speech and censorship.

CEA: “Imported Goods Have Been Getting Cheaper Relative to Domestically Produced Goods”

1373. CEA: “Imported Goods Have Been Getting Cheaper Relative to Domestically Produced Goods”

An argument that the CEA's analysis of imported versus domestic goods prices overlooks the impact of tariffs and domestic competition on final prices.

Using ChatGPT as a Pool of Narcissus

1374. Using ChatGPT as a Pool of Narcissus

Miles Kimball reflects on how ChatGPT describes him, highlighting its accuracy and the evolution of AI-generated profiles over time.

The Protective Effect of a Tariff

1375. The Protective Effect of a Tariff

Jon Murphy discusses the economic consequences of tariffs, focusing on their protective effect and how they hinder productivity in domestic industries.

EJ Antoni on the No Tariff Pass Through Thesis

1376. EJ Antoni on the No Tariff Pass Through Thesis

An argument that tariffs are not being passed on due to falling import prices, highlighting discrepancies in data interpretation and awaiting further economic declarations.

Stop pretending you know what AI does to the economy

1377. Stop pretending you know what AI does to the economy

An argument that widespread pessimism about AI's economic impact is unfounded, as evidence shows it has not yet harmed job markets or productivity significantly.

Bonus episode: The Indicator plays... movie business trivia!

1378. Bonus episode: The Indicator plays... movie business trivia!

The post features a trivia game where participants guess movies based on cryptic descriptions related to the film industry.

Economic Policy Uncertainty and Economic Uncertainty

1379. Economic Policy Uncertainty and Economic Uncertainty

Menzie Chinn examines the relationship between economic policy uncertainty and economic uncertainty, analyzing various indices and their implications for the business cycle.

Talking With Adam Posen

1380. Talking With Adam Posen

Paul Krugman discusses economic insights with Adam Posen, focusing on the current U.S. economy, the Federal Reserve's role, and the impact of political factors on economic conditions.