Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

Trump's tariff revenue has skyrocketed. But how big is it, really?

1081. Trump's tariff revenue has skyrocketed. But how big is it, really?

An argument that the revenue from tariffs under Trump has increased significantly, yet remains a small part of total government income and does not cover new spending.

*One Life to Lead*, and Scheffler’s stance on time neutrality

1082. *One Life to Lead*, and Scheffler’s stance on time neutrality

Tyler Cowen discusses Samuel Scheffler's critique of time neutrality, exploring its implications for personal and social decision-making in philosophy.

What we're reading on the beach this summer

1083. What we're reading on the beach this summer

The post recommends three books suitable for beach reading, incorporating elements of economic learning and social media's impact on language.

Stock Market Capitalization ex-Magnificent 7

1084. Stock Market Capitalization ex-Magnificent 7

The post analyzes SP500 market capitalization excluding top tech stocks, assessing economic performance and durability amid inflation and interest rate changes.

Mental Health Gains versus Coding Using LLMs versus SUTVA

1085. Mental Health Gains versus Coding Using LLMs versus SUTVA

Scott Cunningham explores the potential mental health impacts of LLMs like ChatGPT and Claude, comparing their functionalities and implications for coding and self-medication.

My Weekly Reading for August 10, 2025

1086. My Weekly Reading for August 10, 2025

The post reviews various articles discussing child supervision laws, the effects of guaranteed income, economic myths, and the implications of tariffs on trade.

The Economics of Smoot Hawley 2.0, Part II

1087. The Economics of Smoot Hawley 2.0, Part II

Paul Krugman discusses the economic implications of Trump's tariffs, framing them as class warfare that disproportionately affects lower-income Americans.

Who will actually profit from the AI boom?

1088. Who will actually profit from the AI boom?

The discussion centers on who will benefit financially from the AI boom, examining potential profits for various companies and the implications for economic inequality.

CPI Preview

1089. CPI Preview

Bill McBride discusses the upcoming Consumer Price Index release, providing forecasts and insights on inflation trends and the impact of tariffs on prices.

David Sacks is correct

1090. David Sacks is correct

Tyler Cowen discusses the current state of AI development, emphasizing decentralized progress and competition among companies, countering doomer narratives about monopolistic outcomes.

If You Believe the CPS Employment Series Turns Down before the CES, Be Afraid

1091. If You Believe the CPS Employment Series Turns Down before the CES, Be Afraid

The post discusses the reliability of employment data from different sources, emphasizing the CPS series' variability and its implications for interpreting employment trends.

Weekly tabs

1092. Weekly tabs

The author discusses personal updates, plans for a road trip, and shares insights on data analysis tools and recent music releases.

Why Tariffs On More Countries Can Be Better

1093. Why Tariffs On More Countries Can Be Better

Alex Tabarrok explains that uniform tariffs on all countries can lead to better economic outcomes than selective tariffs, despite the latter seeming closer to free trade.

Talking With Hélène Rey

1094. Talking With Hélène Rey

The discussion centers on international currency roles, the impact of U.S. tariffs, and the uncertainty surrounding Trump's policies on global economic credibility.

Schedule for Week of August 10, 2025

1095. Schedule for Week of August 10, 2025

Key economic reports for the week include CPI, retail sales, and manufacturing surveys, with consensus forecasts provided for each indicator.

We get asked about tariffs all the time. Here's what we say

1096. We get asked about tariffs all the time. Here's what we say

Common questions about tariffs and their implications on the economy are addressed, providing insights into their impact on inflation and recession.

Northern Ghana travel notes

1097. Northern Ghana travel notes

The post describes the sights, culture, and experiences in Northern Ghana, highlighting art, local customs, and the unique characteristics of Tamale.

What happens when governments cook the books

1098. What happens when governments cook the books

Mary Childs discusses the implications of government data manipulation, highlighting cases from Argentina and Greece to illustrate the challenges of restoring trust in economic statistics.

Interesting Facts About the Cocoa Market

1099. Interesting Facts About the Cocoa Market

The post discusses cocoa market dynamics, including farmer exploitation, state monopsony, smuggling, and corruption in Ghana and Ivory Coast's cocoa industry.

How Many Jobs Depend on Exports?

1100. How Many Jobs Depend on Exports?

Timothy Taylor discusses the significant number of jobs linked to exports and the potential risks posed by trade policies, particularly regarding US tariffs.