Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

WSJ Economic Survey: Downside Risk in GDP

41. WSJ Economic Survey: Downside Risk in GDP

Menzie Chinn discusses GDP growth forecasts and recession probabilities based on a recent WSJ economic survey, highlighting downside risks in the projections.

When Self-Checkout Turns Shoppers Into Economists

42. When Self-Checkout Turns Shoppers Into Economists

Jadrian Wooten discusses how self-checkout influences consumer behavior and decision-making, highlighting economic principles behind theft and cost-benefit analysis.

Big Business Should End Its Faustian Bargain With Trump

43. Big Business Should End Its Faustian Bargain With Trump

Paul Krugman argues that big businesses are making a dangerous compromise by aligning with Trump, underestimating the risks to their interests and the broader economy.

44. Some Quotations On Rent

Robert Vienneau critiques various quotations on rent, discussing the contributions of economists like Ricardo and Sraffa to the theory of differential land rent.

Economic Consequences of IEEPA Tariff Strikedown

45. Economic Consequences of IEEPA Tariff Strikedown

Menzie Chinn discusses the potential economic impact of the Supreme Court ruling on IEEPA tariffs and their implications for U.S. trade policy under Trump.

Tim Kane on my visit to University of Austin

46. Tim Kane on my visit to University of Austin

Tyler Cowen discusses Tim Kane's views on grade inflation and the University of Austin's approach to academic rigor and ideological diversity in higher education.

China’s Trade Surplus, Part III

47. China’s Trade Surplus, Part III

An argument that China's significant trade surplus poses challenges for the global economy, particularly for the U.S. and Europe, necessitating policy responses despite current political turmoil.

Zero-sum economics keeps failing

48. Zero-sum economics keeps failing

An argument that zero-sum thinking in economic policies, particularly regarding immigration and tariffs, leads to repeated failures and misunderstandings of economic principles.

The Stupidest Trump Move So Far

49. The Stupidest Trump Move So Far

Paul Krugman discusses Donald Trump's fixation on acquiring Greenland and its implications for U.S. foreign policy and trade law.

Claude Code Series (part 7): Making Beautiful Decks For My Future Self

50. Claude Code Series (part 7): Making Beautiful Decks For My Future Self

The post explores using Claude Code to create effective presentation decks, emphasizing their utility for personal organization and communication in research projects.

Talking Again With Claudia Sahm

51. Talking Again With Claudia Sahm

Paul Krugman discusses economic indicators and the implications of a criminal investigation into Jerome Powell with Claudia Sahm, highlighting unusual labor market dynamics.

“Tyler Cowen’s AI campus”

52. “Tyler Cowen’s AI campus”

Tyler Cowen discusses the integration of AI in higher education, emphasizing the need for students to learn how to work with AI alongside traditional subjects.

They quit their day jobs to bet on current events. A look inside the prediction market mania

53. They quit their day jobs to bet on current events. A look inside the prediction market mania

The post explores the rise of prediction markets, highlighting young traders betting on various current events during Trump's presidency.

Reposting: Remembrance of Kevin Warsh Past

54. Reposting: Remembrance of Kevin Warsh Past

Paul Krugman critiques Kevin Warsh's economic views, highlighting their political motivations and questioning the validity of his assertions regarding fiscal and monetary policy.

55. AI and Jobs: Interview with David Autor

An argument that AI is rapidly transforming the workforce, affecting expertise value and job displacement, while also presenting opportunities for collaboration and improvement in various sectors.

The Enrollment Cliff and the Missing Babies: Who Wasn’t Born?

56. The Enrollment Cliff and the Missing Babies: Who Wasn’t Born?

Scott Cunningham discusses declining fertility rates, their impact on higher education enrollment, and the implications of the "baby-less recovery" from the Great Recession.

It took 75 governors to elect a woman. Abigail Spanberger is now at Virginia's helm

57. It took 75 governors to elect a woman. Abigail Spanberger is now at Virginia's helm

The post discusses Abigail Spanberger's inauguration and her intention to represent Virginia's modern vibrancy, breaking traditional norms in the process.

This Is Not a Nobel Prize

58. This Is Not a Nobel Prize

Paul Krugman discusses the symbolic nature of a Nobel medal and critiques the actions of someone attempting to gain stature through coercion.

What is Competition?

59. What is Competition?

David Hebert explores the concept of competition, emphasizing its complexities beyond textbook definitions and highlighting its role in market behavior and reputation.

Trapped in the hell of social comparison

60. Trapped in the hell of social comparison

Noah Smith explores how social media, particularly Instagram and TikTok, exacerbates feelings of inadequacy and pessimism among Americans, impacting consumer sentiment despite economic improvements.