Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

China’s Trade Surpluses are Not a Source of Strength

2981. China’s Trade Surpluses are Not a Source of Strength

John Phelan discusses how China's trade surpluses, while seemingly beneficial, have historically led to negative consequences for the country and its citizens.

Walking Through Practitioners Guide (Baker, et al. 2025)

2982. Walking Through Practitioners Guide (Baker, et al. 2025)

The post discusses a new paper on difference-in-differences methodology, emphasizing a forward-engineering approach to causal inference and addressing various methodological challenges.

2983. A Rare Disagreement with Veronique de Rugy and Don Boudreaux about International Trade

A disagreement is presented regarding the relationship between imports and exports, arguing that exports are not necessarily required for a country to benefit from imports.

How are inflation or tariffs affecting your shopping and budget? NPR wants to know

2984. How are inflation or tariffs affecting your shopping and budget? NPR wants to know

Alina Selyukh discusses how inflation and tariffs impact shopping habits and budgeting, inviting readers to share their experiences.

India is hoping its manufacturing industry will profit from Trump's tariffs on China

2985. India is hoping its manufacturing industry will profit from Trump's tariffs on China

An argument that India seeks to benefit from increased manufacturing opportunities due to U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods, positioning itself as an alternative for businesses.

What Follows from Lab Leak?

2986. What Follows from Lab Leak?

Alex Tabarrok discusses the implications of a potential lab leak origin for SARS-CoV-2, advocating for improved biosafety regulations and international oversight to prevent future pandemics.

Policy and 2025 Housing Outlook

2987. Policy and 2025 Housing Outlook

Bill McBride discusses the impact of policy changes on the housing market outlook for 2025, focusing on inventory levels and economic factors affecting sales.

Social Security: A Time for Outrage

2988. Social Security: A Time for Outrage

Paul Krugman discusses the disconnect between working-class voters' support for Trump and the threats to Social Security posed by his administration's policies.

Why Scam Texts About Unpaid Tolls Just Won’t Stop

2989. Why Scam Texts About Unpaid Tolls Just Won’t Stop

The post examines the prevalence of scam texts about unpaid tolls, explaining how scammers exploit human behavior and economic principles to target potential victims effectively.

Housing March 24th Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.9% Week-over-week, Up 30.3% Year-over-year

2990. Housing March 24th Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.9% Week-over-week, Up 30.3% Year-over-year

Bill McBride discusses the recent increase in active single-family housing inventory, highlighting both week-over-week and year-over-year changes.

Is fiscal policy effective?

2991. Is fiscal policy effective?

Scott Sumner discusses Valerie A. Ramey's research on the limited effectiveness of lump sum transfer payments in stimulating the macroeconomy, emphasizing monetary policy's offsetting role.

How specialization can lead to burn-out

2992. How specialization can lead to burn-out

An argument that specialization in work can contribute to burnout, highlighting the disconnect between workers and their job's purpose as a significant factor.

When Will EJ Antoni End His Recession Call?

2993. When Will EJ Antoni End His Recession Call?

Menzie Chinn analyzes EJ Antoni's recession claims and critiques his economic indicators and methodology while predicting a potential end to the recession call.

Max Frankel, former New York Times top editor, dies at 94

2994. Max Frankel, former New York Times top editor, dies at 94

The post discusses the life and legacy of Max Frankel, highlighting his role as executive editor of The New York Times and his impact on journalism.

My Weekly Reading for March 23, 2025

2995. My Weekly Reading for March 23, 2025

David Henderson discusses various readings, including insights on George Washington's entrepreneurship and critiques of pandemic lockdowns affecting societal behavior.

The Justice of (Classical) Liberal Anarchy

2996. The Justice of (Classical) Liberal Anarchy

Pierre Lemieux reviews Anthony de Jasay's book, discussing its themes of justice, property, and the relationship between liberty and state authority.

At least five interesting things: Japan Trip edition (#61)

2997. At least five interesting things: Japan Trip edition (#61)

The post discusses various topics including Social Security, Trump's policies, and corruption in San Francisco, highlighting the implications for governance and public services.

Mixtape University: Diff-in-Diff with a checklist. Simulating the Importance of Weighting

2998. Mixtape University: Diff-in-Diff with a checklist. Simulating the Importance of Weighting

Scott Cunningham discusses teaching causal inference, focusing on difference-in-differences and the impact of weighting on treatment effect estimates.

A Balance of Payments Primer, Part I

2999. A Balance of Payments Primer, Part I

Paul Krugman discusses the historical context of trade deficits and their implications, referencing David Hume's ideas and current economic debates in the U.S.

3000. Guest Contribution: “No Mar-A-Lago Accord March 22, 2025”

Proposals for a "Mar-a-Lago Accord" aim to depreciate the dollar to improve the trade balance, but face significant challenges and contradictions regarding US interest rates and dollar dominance.