your daily dose of economic commentary
An argument that reinstating tariffs on steel and aluminium will significantly impact trade, production, and consumer welfare in the US and its trading partners.
A federal judge ruled that the Trump administration unlawfully fired thousands of federal employees without proper notification to states.
An argument that examines various inflation measures, including headline, core, and supercore, using recent data and calculations from multiple economic sources.
Menzie Chinn analyzes economic indicators suggesting a potential recession, referencing EJ Antoni's claims and discussing data from various sources and methodologies.
Bill Chappell discusses the rise of "smishing" scams and offers advice on how to protect yourself from these fraudulent texts.
The post discusses the significant year-over-year increase in active housing inventory and new listings, highlighting market dynamics affecting buyers and sellers.
David Henderson discusses the economic benefits and costs of import tariffs, analyzing their impact on production, consumption, and trade deficits.
Nate Silver discusses Donald Trump's approval ratings, noting his current popularity compared to his first term and the factors influencing these trends.
Manuela López Restrepo discusses Donatella Versace's decision to step down as chief creative officer after nearly 30 years leading the brand.
An argument that populism fails to deliver on its promises due to inherent epistemic and incentive challenges, leading to a concentration of power among new elites.
Bill McBride discusses the decline in hotel occupancy rates in the U.S. and its potential impact due to decreased Canadian tourist traffic.
Rebecca Rosman discusses the impact of President Trump's tariffs on U.S. trade with major partners amid rising global tariff tensions.
The post critiques the absence of free market advocates in Trump's administration, highlighting the alignment of populist conservatives and progressives on antitrust enforcement and state power.
Nate Silver discusses the launch and navigation of Silver Bulletin, highlighting its cyclical nature around elections and sports, and the evolution of its content delivery.
Camila Domonoske discusses Tesla's shifting customer base, noting its growing appeal among conservatives and questioning if Republican buyers can offset liberal losses.
The post introduces women's college basketball ratings, detailing the SBCB system's methodology and differences between pure and Bayesian ratings for performance evaluation.
An argument that household net worth rose in Q4 2024, driven by corporate equities, while real estate values declined and household debt increased.
A potential 200% tariff on European alcoholic beverages by Trump could significantly impact trade relations and pricing in the alcohol market.
Nate Silver discusses the Silver Bulletin College Basketball ratings, detailing their methodology and updates on team performances as the season progresses.
An argument that the nostalgia for past industries overlooks the benefits of modern trade and the need for targeted industrial policy to foster future economic growth.