Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

On the Q4 Advance Release: GDP vs. “Core GDP” and Residential Investment

1. On the Q4 Advance Release: GDP vs. “Core GDP” and Residential Investment

Menzie Chinn analyzes Q4 GDP data, comparing it to "Core GDP" and discussing implications for residential investment and economic forecasts.

Why the “Lesser Included Action” Argument for IEEPA Tariffs Fails

2. Why the “Lesser Included Action” Argument for IEEPA Tariffs Fails

Alex Tabarrok discusses the Supreme Court's ruling on IEEPA tariffs, arguing that the "lesser included action" reasoning fails due to political economy considerations.

Talking With Ro Khanna

3. Talking With Ro Khanna

A discussion on the challenges of representing a diverse Silicon Valley district amid wealth concentration, inequality, and the impact of technology on society.

Innovation Hurting Workers Or Capitalists

4. Innovation Hurting Workers Or Capitalists

Robert Vienneau discusses the impact of technological innovations on agricultural production, land rent, and efficiency in a multi-commodity economy.

Closing tabs: Saturday Morning Edition

5. Closing tabs: Saturday Morning Edition

The post shares various links and thoughts on relationships, AI, and personal experiences, blending personal anecdotes with insights on love and technology.

Trump excoriates Supreme Court justices after tariff loss

6. Trump excoriates Supreme Court justices after tariff loss

The post discusses the president's reaction to a setback regarding tariffs and the implications for U.S. trade policy.

I podcast on Spain and Latin America

7. I podcast on Spain and Latin America

The discussion centers on El Salvador's potential for economic growth, tourism development, and the challenges posed by governance and regional safety risks.

After the Supreme Court's ruling on tariffs, companies line up for refunds

8. After the Supreme Court's ruling on tariffs, companies line up for refunds

The Associated Press discusses the Supreme Court's decision on tariffs and the implications for refunds of collected government funds.

IEEPA! IEEPA! IEEPA!

9. IEEPA! IEEPA! IEEPA!

The discussion centers on Trump's misuse of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act for tariffs, highlighting the implications for presidential power and constitutional authority.

GDP continues to grow

10. GDP continues to grow

The post discusses recent U.S. GDP growth rates, their implications for recession indicators, and the impact of consumption and government spending on economic performance.

Trust in Numbers

11. Trust in Numbers

Claudia Sahm discusses the importance of trusting economic data from federal agencies and the safeguards against manipulation that ensure its credibility.

Trump’s Tariffs Have Not Shifted the Trade Deficit

12. Trump’s Tariffs Have Not Shifted the Trade Deficit

An argument that Trump's tariffs have not effectively reduced the US trade deficit, highlighting macroeconomic factors as the primary determinants of trade balances.

Claude Code 22: Final Entry Into Classification of Speeches with Claude Code and OpenAI gpt-4o-mini (Part 5)

13. Claude Code 22: Final Entry Into Classification of Speeches with Claude Code and OpenAI gpt-4o-mini (Part 5)

The post concludes a series on using Claude Code and OpenAI's gpt-4o-mini to analyze and reclassify immigration-related speeches, revealing unexpected patterns in the data.

The Ultra-Rich Are Different from You and Me

14. The Ultra-Rich Are Different from You and Me

An argument that the ultra-rich benefit from significant tax advantages, exacerbating wealth inequality and undermining economic stability, while the political power of this elite is often overlooked.

Friedman on Immigration: Setting the Record Straight

15. Friedman on Immigration: Setting the Record Straight

An argument that immigration concerns often misinterpret Friedman’s views, suggesting that illegal immigration can be beneficial while proposing nuanced solutions to welfare access issues.

Which 2028 Democrats have the best electoral track record?

16. Which 2028 Democrats have the best electoral track record?

An argument that evaluates the electoral track records of potential Democratic candidates for 2028, highlighting strengths and weaknesses in comparison to each other.

Democratic economic policy in the age of AI

17. Democratic economic policy in the age of AI

An argument that Democrats should develop economic policies adaptable to the uncertainties posed by rapid AI advancements, moving beyond past progressive strategies.

7 key things to know about Trump's tariffs after the Supreme Court decision

18. 7 key things to know about Trump's tariffs after the Supreme Court decision

The post discusses the Supreme Court's ruling on Trump's tariffs, highlighting the economic implications and context surrounding the decision.

The economy slowed in the last 3 months of the year — but was still solid in 2025

19. The economy slowed in the last 3 months of the year — but was still solid in 2025

Economic growth in 2025 showed a slight slowdown, driven by strong consumer spending and business investment despite a decrease from the previous year's growth rate.

Using saliva to detect disease holds promise, but it's not perfected yet

20. Using saliva to detect disease holds promise, but it's not perfected yet

Saliva tests could simplify disease detection but face challenges like insurance coverage that hinder broader implementation.