Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

SBSQ #29: Will AI terminate democracy? And why did Gallup terminate its approval ratings?

1. SBSQ #29: Will AI terminate democracy? And why did Gallup terminate its approval ratings?

An argument that questions Gallup's decision to end its approval ratings polling and explores the potential impact of AI on democracy.

Two Measures of Private NFP Compared

2. Two Measures of Private NFP Compared

Menzie Chinn analyzes the differences between BLS and ADP private nonfarm payroll employment data revisions and their implications for economic understanding.

Minimum Wages for Gig Workers Can’t Work

3. Minimum Wages for Gig Workers Can’t Work

An argument that minimum wage laws for gig workers fail to increase net earnings due to elastic supply and market dynamics, leading to increased idle time and reduced task completion.

Puerto Rico by the Numbers

4. Puerto Rico by the Numbers

Jadrian Wooten explores Puerto Rico's economic landscape, highlighting its unique relationship with the U.S. and the disparity between output and employment in various sectors.

Turning Our Back on Clean Energy

5. Turning Our Back on Clean Energy

The post discusses the acceleration of climate change, critiques the Trump administration's anti-clean energy policies, and highlights the economic viability of renewable energy solutions.

Codechella Madrid Week 2: New Material and Claude Code

6. Codechella Madrid Week 2: New Material and Claude Code

The post discusses updates for Codechella Madrid, focusing on new curriculum topics and the integration of Claude Code for applied quantitative research.

7. An Algorithm Trace For The Truncation Of Fixed Capital

An argument that explores the algorithmic approach to determining the economic life of machines in various industries and its implications for cost-minimizing techniques.

Updated thoughts on AI risk

8. Updated thoughts on AI risk

The author reflects on shifting views regarding AI risk, expressing increased concern about existential threats while maintaining some optimism about AI's potential benefits for humanity.

The Recent Evolution of Ground Beef and Ground Coffee Prices and Tariff Rates in the U.S.

9. The Recent Evolution of Ground Beef and Ground Coffee Prices and Tariff Rates in the U.S.

An argument that recent changes in tariff rates have influenced the prices of ground beef and ground coffee in the U.S., highlighting price trends post-tariff removal.

Closing out more tabs: the day after valentines edition

10. Closing out more tabs: the day after valentines edition

The post discusses the motherhood penalty in labor economics, critiques recent research on gender earnings gaps, and reflects on modern dating terminology.

Who Is Paying the Trump Tariffs?

11. Who Is Paying the Trump Tariffs?

An argument that tariffs imposed during the Trump administration primarily burden U.S. consumers, contrary to claims that foreign entities bear the costs.

How technology has already changed the world in my lifetime

12. How technology has already changed the world in my lifetime

The post reflects on the profound technological changes experienced over recent decades, emphasizing the impact of the internet, social media, and AI on society and individual lives.

Want a mortgage for under 3% in 2026? Meet the 'assumable mortgage'

13. Want a mortgage for under 3% in 2026? Meet the 'assumable mortgage'

Stephan Bisaha discusses the potential for homebuyers to secure low mortgage rates through assumable mortgages in 2026.

CBR Reduces Rates as Measured GDP Growth Declines

14. CBR Reduces Rates as Measured GDP Growth Declines

Menzie Chinn discusses the Central Bank of Russia's rate cuts amid declining GDP growth and inflation trends in the Russian economy.

Talking Again with Jon Gruber

15. Talking Again with Jon Gruber

Paul Krugman discusses healthcare policy changes with Jonathan Gruber, emphasizing the impact of immigration on healthcare and the consequences of reduced subsidies under the Affordable Care Act.

Closing out my tabs: Valentines Day edition

16. Closing out my tabs: Valentines Day edition

The post discusses various aspects of love, relationships, and personal growth, interspersed with reflections on societal issues and technology's impact on human connections.

Core CPI at Consensus

17. Core CPI at Consensus

An argument that recent CPI data reveals rising grocery prices and diverging trends in food price components, with forecasts indicating increasing inflation rates.

Can Democrats escape their Florida death spiral?

18. Can Democrats escape their Florida death spiral?

Eli McKown-Dawson discusses the challenges facing Florida Democrats, highlighting their declining electoral prospects and the implications for the party's future in the state.

Claude Code 19: When the Reclassification Is Massive But the Trends Don't Change, Something Interesting Is Happening (Part 4)

19. Claude Code 19: When the Reclassification Is Massive But the Trends Don't Change, Something Interesting Is Happening (Part 4)

The analysis explores the reclassification of speeches and its implications for measurement, revealing stable aggregate trends despite significant label changes.

The MAGA Bubble Is Imploding

20. The MAGA Bubble Is Imploding

The post discusses the disconnect between stock market performance and the actual economic conditions, highlighting political desperation and public disillusionment with the current administration.