Econ Blog

your daily dose of economic commentary

More on the GDP Release: Compare against “Core GDP” and GDO

1. More on the GDP Release: Compare against “Core GDP” and GDO

An argument that compares GDP with "core GDP" and GDO, highlighting differences in growth estimates and their implications for economic momentum.

2. Economics of the Attention Economy

Timothy Taylor discusses how attention has become a valuable economic resource, influencing consumer behavior and the dynamics of the modern economy.

Two Ways to See Abadie-Imbens Bias Correction (And Why It Might Matter)

3. Two Ways to See Abadie-Imbens Bias Correction (And Why It Might Matter)

Scott Cunningham discusses two representations of Abadie-Imbens bias correction in nearest neighbor matching and their implications for regression analysis.

Merry Christmas

4. Merry Christmas

Paul Krugman shares his Christmas Eve plans and reflections, blending personal anecdotes with a light-hearted commentary on social media interactions.

Question #9 for 2026: What will happen with house prices in 2026?

5. Question #9 for 2026: What will happen with house prices in 2026?

Bill McBride analyzes predictions for house prices in 2026, referencing economic indicators and trends from previous years.

Why Europe should resist the Second China Shock

6. Why Europe should resist the Second China Shock

An argument that Europe faces economic challenges from a surge in Chinese high-tech exports, which could undermine local industries and trade balance.

Existence Of A Cost-Minimizing Solution In A Model With Extensive And Intensive Rent

7. Existence Of A Cost-Minimizing Solution In A Model With Extensive And Intensive Rent

Robert Vienneau explores a novel economic model that combines extensive and intensive rent, focusing on production processes and their efficiencies in agriculture.

MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey

8. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey

Bill McBride discusses a decrease in mortgage applications according to the MBA's latest survey, highlighting trends in refinancing and home purchases.

Year end CWT retrospective episode with Jeff Holmes

9. Year end CWT retrospective episode with Jeff Holmes

The discussion reflects on personal experiences of humor and emotional responses, emphasizing a steady disposition towards pleasure and displeasure rather than extreme reactions.

Good news from the GDP report

10. Good news from the GDP report

James Hamilton discusses the recent U.S. GDP growth, indicating a positive economic outlook despite some concerns in the labor market.

ELWAY NFL team projections: Week 17

11. ELWAY NFL team projections: Week 17

An argument that presents a new NFL model for team ratings, detailing projections, quarterback assessments, and the impact of injuries on team performance.

Closing out some tabs before Xmas

12. Closing out some tabs before Xmas

The author shares personal reflections on family, music, and various academic studies, intertwining thoughts on happiness and historical figures while preparing for Christmas.

How Does Japan Sustain Such High Government Debt?

13. How Does Japan Sustain Such High Government Debt?

Timothy Taylor discusses Japan's high government debt and explains how its consolidated debt is much lower than gross debt due to unique financial structures and low interest rates.

Tuesday's Assorted Links

14. Tuesday's Assorted Links

The post highlights holiday-related stories that illustrate economic principles, including rising prices, consumer spending, and the prevalence of holiday bonuses across different industries.

ICE First Look at Mortgage Performance: Seasonal and Calendar Factors Drive Rise in November Delinquencies

15. ICE First Look at Mortgage Performance: Seasonal and Calendar Factors Drive Rise in November Delinquencies

The post analyzes November's mortgage delinquency trends, attributing increases to seasonal factors and historical patterns, while noting significant shifts in prepayment and foreclosure activity.

Student loan borrowers in default may soon see their wages garnished

16. Student loan borrowers in default may soon see their wages garnished

An argument that millions of borrowers in default may soon face wage garnishment after a pandemic-related pause ends.

Three that Made a Revolution

17. Three that Made a Revolution

Alex Tabarrok discusses the transformative impact of three key figures in India's 1991 economic reforms that significantly reduced poverty and reshaped the country's economy.

A New K in America

18. A New K in America

Paul Krugman discusses the K-shaped economy in America, highlighting the disparity in wage growth between low-income and high-income workers during different administrations.

Final Look at Housing Markets in November and a Look Ahead to December Sales

19. Final Look at Housing Markets in November and a Look Ahead to December Sales

The post analyzes November housing market trends, noting declines in sales and prices, while forecasting potential future price declines in 2026.

Silver and Gold

20. Silver and Gold

Art Carden discusses the properties of silver and gold, their economic implications, and how market dynamics influence material choices in technology and decoration.